Month: April 2020

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Stock Market Update: Nifty succumbed to profit booking & ended flat

Today’s Action

Nifty, -0.1%; Sensex, +0.2%; Nifty Midcap, +0.5%; Nifty Smallcap, +0.4%; Model Portfolio, -1.4%

Market Pulse Confirmed Uptrend

After opening more than 100 points higher, Nifty succumbed to profit booking and ended flat. It was a highly volatile trading session. Only 28% of Nifty50 stocks advanced today, led by Tata Motors (+4.7%) and Sun Pharm.Industries (+3.6%). On the flip side, Hindalco Industries (-6.2%) and Jsw Steel (-5.5%) were the major decliners.

On the sectoral front, it was a mixed reaction. Nifty PSU Bank (+4.2%) and IT (+1.6%) were the major advancers. On the other side, Nifty Metal (-3.3%) and FMCG (-2.1%) were the major decliners. Of 2,125 stocks traded, 1,150 advanced, 683 declined, and the remaining traded flat.

We continue to be very selective about taking any fresh positions. It is important that investors don’t play all their cards at once. We would suggest adopting an investment approach where you begin with a small allocation and increase it as and when the market advances further.

Without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives us and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. Stocks with higher relative strength and superior fundamentals can do well. Some leading stocks have sharply corrected. Wait for them to put in at least a short period of consolidation and show a constructive breakout from that range. Buying without this period of constructive behavior into a straight upmove off the bottom, puts you at a risk of drawdown.

Key News

DGCA has ordered airlines not to take bookings from May 4 as the final decision is awaited. Shares of Interglobe Aviation (-6%) and Spicejet (-1.7%) have declined sharply.

Fitch has downgraded India’s economic growth forecast for FY21 to 1.8% from 4.6% previously.

Wockhardt received the Qualified Infectious Disease Product (QIDP) designation for its novel antibiotic WCK 6777 from the USFDA.

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Technical analysis: Breakouts, A Key To Materialize Gains

Even when the market is in a Confirmed Uptrend, it is important to initiate your positions at the proper time in stock. A breakout from a base pattern is considered an ideal time to buy a stock. When markets are correcting, three out of four stocks feel the pressure. Even fundamentally strong stocks with good financial strength and growth story fail to deliver results expected of them. So, even when the market seems to be reviving, one feels inhibited to actively take positions in individual stocks. Before the situation becomes clear, all good stocks would have already rallied and what’s left is a lost opportunity.

How does one cope and find a reliable and profitable way out of this randomness? Thanks to technical analysis and historical research, there are tools that can bring some method to this madness and be beneficial.

What is a breakout?

A breakout is the key to realize your reward that you earned through patience and extensive stock selection. Almost all rallies in stocks are preceded by strong and clear breakouts. When you have selected a stock with a convincing growth story but are confused about when to make an entry so as to make profits with minimum risk, that’s when you observe the price chart closely. When a credible breakout is observed, it’s the perfect time to put your money in the stock.

A breakout is a phenomenon that a stock exhibits after making a sound base pattern (any of the five bases), indicating that it’s ready for a rally. There’s a set pivot price which is dependent on the shape and form of the base pattern (like cup-with-handle, saucer-with-handle, flat base, etc.). When the stock crosses and ends above that pivot price, it’s said to have broken out and is set for further upside.

Example

Here’s an example of a successful breakout. Coromandel International formed a cup-with-handle base, as visible on the daily chart. The stock broke out of its pivot price on strong volume and progressed well. Subsequent to the breakout, the stock gave more than 20% return in seven weeks.

Breakouts-TechnicalAnalysis-Stocks

Signs of a good breakout

  1. The base pattern of the chart from which the stock is breaking out from should be convincing with its shape, depth, and price-volume action along its formation.
  2. Ideally, a good breakout is supported by strong volume, and is typically 40% higher than 50-day average volume. Strong volume indicates credible participation from institutional investors. Therefore, the stronger the volume is, the healthier the breakout will be.
  3. Strong price action is favorable in a breakout. Gap up movements (stock opening significantly above previous day’s close and maintaining the gain) and stock ending near the day’s high are good signs to see accompanying breakouts.
  4. A good breakout should have the support of a Confirmed Uptrend in the overall market. Breakouts in such markets have a higher chance of strong rally.

Related: 

Share market basics: Overhead Supply Can Repulse A Stock’s Climb

When To Buy Growth Stocks: How Pyramiding Up Can Be As Easy As A Cup Of Coffee

How Relative Strength Rating Helps You Pick Outstanding Growth Stocks

Read our last week’s article on:Checklist to a Simple Investment Routine

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Market Update: IL&FS Sells its Stake in IL&FS Wind Power Services

Today’s Action

Nifty, +0.8%; Sensex, +0.7%; Nifty Midcap, +1.8%; Nifty Smallcap, +2.8%; Model Portfolio, +2.0%

Market Pulse Confirmed Uptrend

Nifty, after a negative opening, closed the day around 70 points higher. It made an intraday high of 9,053 and closed below 9,000. Today, 70% of Nifty50 stocks advanced, led by Ntpc (+5.8%) and Vedanta (+5.2%). On the flip side, Hcl Technologies (Nse) (-3.9%) and Tech Mahindra (-3.9%) were the major decliners.

Barring Nifty IT (-1.9%) and FMCG (-0.6%), all the sectoral indices closed higher. Nifty Media (+2.6%) and Nifty Bank (+1.8%) were the major advancers. Of 2,116 stocks traded, 1,331 advanced, 462 declined, and the remaining traded flat.

We continue to be very selective about taking any fresh positions. It is important that investors don’t play all their cards at once. We would suggest adopting an investment approach where you begin with a small allocation and increase it as and when the market advances further.

Without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives us and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. Stocks with higher relative strength and superior fundamentals can do well. Some leading stocks have sharply corrected. Wait for them to put in at least a short period of consolidation and show a constructive breakout from that range. Buying without this period of constructive behavior into a straight upmove off the bottom, puts you at a risk of drawdown.

Key News

Larsen & Toubro received ‘significant’ orders during January-March quarter. ‘Significant’ category orders range between Rs 1,000 crore and Rs 2,500 crore.

Vodafone Idea enhanced network capacity in the Delhi-NCR circle by deploying the most efficient 900 MHz spectrum band on 2,300 4G sites to cater to rising demand amid coronavirus lockdown.

IL&FS sold its 100% stake in IL&FS Wind Power Services to ORIX Corporation, Japan for Rs 6.05 crore.

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Market News: Zydus Cadila Receives Tentative Approval | Nifty Adds a Distribution Day

Today’s Action

Nifty, -0.8%; Sensex, -1%; Nifty Midcap, +1.3%; Nifty Smallcap, +1.3%; Model Portfolio, -0.2%

Market Pulse Confirmed Uptrend

Nifty, after a gap up opening, traded in a narrow range in the first half of the trading session. However, the index shed all its gains in the last hour of the day and closed in negative territory. Further, Nifty added a distribution day as today’s volume was higher than the previous session.

On the sectoral front, results were mixed. Nifty Financial Service and Nifty Bank were the major decliners, which lost more than 2% each. On the flip side, Nifty FMCG (+4.1%) gained the most followed by Nifty Realty (+1.8%). The advance-decline ratio was in favor of advancers. Of 2,111 stocks traded, 1,208 advanced, 588 declined, and the remaining traded flat.

We continue to be very selective about taking any fresh positions. It is important that investors don’t play all their cards at once. We would suggest adopting an investment approach where you begin with a small allocation and increase it as and when the market advances further.

Without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives us and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. Stocks with higher relative strength and superior fundamentals can do well. Some leading stocks have sharply corrected. Wait for them to put in at least a short period of consolidation and show a constructive breakout from that range. Buying without this period of constructive behavior into a straight upmove off the bottom, puts you at a risk of drawdown.

Key News

Lupin (Nse)(-1.9%) received the Establishment Inspection Report after closure of the U.S. FDA inspection of the company’s Mandideep Unit II facility, classifying the inspection as Voluntary Action Indicated.

Cadila Healthcare(-4.1%) received tentative approval from the U.S. FDA for Macitentan tablets.

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Daily Big Picture:Nifty Ends Below 9,000; Pharma Index Up 45% From its Lows

Today’s Action

Nifty, -1.3%; Sensex, -1.5%; Nifty Midcap, -1.4%; Nifty Smallcap, -0.6%; Model Portfolio, +0.9%

Market Pulse Confirmed Uptrend

Nifty opened on a flat note and quickly lost around 100 points and made an intraday low of 8,912. However, it pared some of its losses and closed slightly below 9,000. Nifty escaped distribution as today’s volume was lower than the previous session. 

Barring Nifty Pharma (+2.8%) and Metal (+1.9%), all sectoral indices closed in the red. Nifty Pharma rallied ~45% from its lows. On the flip side, Nifty Realty (-4.9%), Media (-3.3%) and Financial Services (-3.1%) were the major decliners. The advance-decline ratio was in favor of advancers. Of 2,126 stocks traded, 952 advanced, 854 declined, and the remaining traded flat.

We continue to be very selective about taking any fresh positions. It is important that investors don’t play all their cards at once. We would suggest adopting an investment approach where you begin with a small allocation and increase it as and when the market advances further. 

Without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives us and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. Stocks with higher relative strength and superior fundamentals can do well. Some leading stocks have sharply corrected. Wait for them to put in at least a short period of consolidation and show a constructive breakout from that range. Buying without this period of constructive behavior into a straight upmove off the bottom, puts you at a risk of drawdown.

Key News

According to SIAM data, passenger vehicles sales for FY20 declined 18% whereas it declined 51% y/y for March. Commercial vehicles sales declined 29% for FY20 and 88% for March.

Dr Reddys Labs. (Nse) launched the blood cancer drug Invista in India. These tablets are used for the treatment of Chronic Myeloid Leukemia.

Bandhan Bank’s total deposits grew 32% y/y to Rs 57,073 in FY20. Retail deposits grew 34% in the same period and form 78.4% of the total deposits.

Disclaimer: Information contained herein is not and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. It is for educational purposes only.