Fundamental Analysis: Is the market forming a new bottom?

The financial collapse of 2007 and the recession that followed left many economists on the defensive. News programs, magazines, pundits, and even Queen of England all asked some variant of questions, why didn’t you see it coming? Some in the economics community wrote articles or convened conferences to examine how they could have gotten it so wrong; others engaged in a full-throated defense of their profession. For many who were hostile to the fundamental assumptions of mainstream economics, the crisis was proof that they had been right all along: the emperor was finally shown to have no clothes. Public confidence in authority was badly shaken.

-Excerpt from the Fault Lines by Raghuram Rajan

The current scenario we are in is so vastly different that it doesn’t beg the question: “why didn’t you see it coming?” This time around, the cause is unprecedented – a virus is attacking mankind and corrupting the system as we know it – and so is the impact. This week, our experts delved into the same question to find out if at all the history is repeating itself and ‘Is there a Recession coming?’

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Performance computations reflect a -weighted rate of return and includes a brokerage of 0.5%. All holdings are rebalanced to equal rupee amounts daily. Dividends are not considered in computations. Percent gains and losses are calculated for all issues that remain on the “Current Holdings” at the end of the day. For stocks that were added to “Current Holdings”, the basis used to calculate the percent change is the price noted when the issue appeared as a “Current Holdings” in MarketSmith India. For stocks that were removed, the selling price used to calculate the percent is the price note d when the issue appeared as “Removed” in the MarketSmith India. For more information, see our Legal disclosures here.

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