Break the Stereotype; Buy High, Sell Higher

“What seems too high in price and risky to the majority usually goes higher, and what seems low and cheap usually goes lower.” – William J. O’Neil

The ‘N’ in the CANSLIM strategy stands for either a ‘New Product,’ ‘New Management,’ ‘New High,’ or any other new factor, which could positively change the operating environment for the stock and ultimately drives its price into newer realms.

Contrary to conventional wisdom, buying low and selling high is not an easy way to make money in the stock market. In fact, it can be quite risky because in many cases, you’re buying damaged goods.

We would like to specially draw your attention to buying into new highs. Buying a stock when it is scaling new highs might seem strange and scary to many investors. About 98% of individual investors would never buy a stock that makes new highs. Buying a quality stock at a new high is buying into the emerging strength with a belief that it could prove to be the beginning of the next big move.

But, don’t buy every stock that makes a new high, make sure that the stock breaks out of a sound base pattern before it sails above the pivot, on a higher than the average volume. In addition, investing when the stock price is way too extended, say 5–7% or higher from its pivot is not ideal.

Traditionally, investors often believe that they are value investing, when they prefer to shop stocks near their 52-week lows. The idea of buying from a discount sale in a supermarket rarely applies while buying stocks. Stocks on the new-high list tend to go higher in price, while those on the new-low list tend to go lower. Good quality products are always expensive, so are the good quality stocks.

Don’t be afraid to buy a stock when it is showing supreme relative strength and sitting near highs. There is no shortage of precedents that show big market winners staging multiple breakouts during multiyear runs. Don’t be quick to say it is too late, especially if a compelling growth story is still intact.

For example, look at the chart of Central Depository Services (India). It advanced 70% in the last three months. Its ideal breakout and buy point was at an all-time high in February, and after breakout, it progressed higher making higher highs. By avoiding growth stock at all-time high with a proper base pattern and strong fundamental and technical profile, you are avoiding a multibagger stock.

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Read our last week’s article :  Why Stocks Form a Base; Five Bullish Traits of a Healthy Base

Is Sonata Software a Long Term Leader A Good Buy

Sonata Software stock is worth watching as the stock is forming a 6-week, 13% deep Flat Base. The current price is only 5% away from its ideal buy price of INR 634. Aggressive investors could use any tight area breakout inside the base as an opportunity to initiate a small position. A conservative approach may be to add the stock to your watchlist so that you are ready to pounce if it breaks out to the traditional entry point.

The key trend lines, 10 and 40-week moving averages are at a comfortable position. The current trends of both the averages are upward and the 10-week moving average is trending above the 40-week moving average. The current price of the stock is trading around 15.55% away from the 10-week moving average.

In the last twelve months, Sonata Software has rallied nearly 189.4% as compared to 59.6% for the Nifty500. It has a Relative Strength Rating of 84. We definitely would like see improvement in the rating. At this point we are taking a step back and focusing on the RS Line.

The Relative Strength Line of the stock is offering a lot of encouragement to investors. It has been making good progress in the last few weeks. The overall long term trend of the line is also trending upward. If Sonata Software can maintain this outperformance, it could make sense as a CANSLIM trade.

Another key part of the jigsaw is institutional sponsorship. Sonata Software has an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of ‘A’. This represents heavy institutional buying over the past few weeks. The number of institutional sponsors and shares held by the sponsors, both increased in the last reported quarter.

On the earnings front, Sonata Software has an excellent EPS Rank of 80, which indicates consistency in earnings. The earnings and sales for the stock have grown by 7% and 22%, respectively over the past three years. Its 3-years earnings stability is 10, on a 0 to 99 scale (lower the better). Over the past five years, the earnings and sales for the stock have grown by 13% and 17%, respectively. The 5-years earnings stability is 10. The return on equity for the last reported year is 31%.

The stock belongs to industry group of Computer-Tech Services. You would still want to see some improvement in the industry group rank for the group. The current industry group rank is 75. The current price of Sonata Software is 2% off from its 52-week high price and 241% above it 52-week low price.

The stock appears on our idea lists: Trend Template – 5 Months.

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Upl Stock Is Breaking Out Of A 5-Week Flat Base Pattern

Upl stock is worth watching as the stock is forming a 5-week, 14% deep Flat Base. The current price is only 1% away from its ideal buy price of INR 674. Aggressive investors could use any tight area breakout inside the base as an opportunity to initiate a small position. A conservative approach may be to add the stock to your watchlist so that you are ready to pounce if it breaks out to the traditional entry point.

The key trend lines, 10 and 40-week moving averages are at a comfortable position. The current trends of both the averages are upward and the 10-week moving average is trending above the 40-week moving average. The current price of the stock is trading around 9.56% away from the 10-week moving average.

In the last twelve months, Upl has rallied nearly 72.6% as compared to 60.7% for the Nifty500. It has a Relative Strength Rating of 66. We definitely would like to see improvement in the rating. At this point we are taking a step back and focusing on the RS Line.

The Relative Strength Line of the stock is offering a lot of encouragement to investors. It has been making good progress in the last few weeks. The overall long term trend of the line is also trending upward. If Upl can maintain this outperformance, it could make sense as a CANSLIM trade.

Another key part of the jigsaw is institutional sponsorship. Upl has an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of ‘A’. This represents heavy institutional buying over the past few weeks. The number of institutional sponsors and shares held by the sponsors, both increased in the last reported quarter.

On the earnings front, Upl has an excellent EPS Rank of 87, which indicates consistency in earnings. The earnings and sales for the stock have grown by 2% and 36%, respectively over the past three years. Its 3-years earnings stability is 27, on a 0 to 99 scale (lower the better). Over the past five years, the earnings and sales for the stock have grown by 8% and 24%, respectively. The 5-years earnings stability is 25. The return on equity for the last reported year is 12%.

The stock belongs to the industry group of Chemicals-Agricultural. You would still want to see some improvement in the industry group rank for the group. The current industry group rank is66. The current price of Upl is -1% off from its 52-week high price and 103% above its 52-week low price.

The stock appears on our idea lists: Trend Template – 5 Months.

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