Nifty Adds Distribution Day; Broader Market Outperforms

Today’s Action

Nifty, -0.6%; Sensex, -0.7%; Nifty Midcap, +0.8%; Nifty Smallcap, +0.8%; Model Portfolio, -0.1%

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Distribution Day Count: Three

Nifty gapped lower on weak global cues. However, it recovered around 80 points in the opening hour. After a little consolidation, it further moved higher and made a high of 14,900. From there, it reversed and closed around 14,850. As the volume was higher compared with yesterday’s session, we will consider it as a distribution day.

The positive momentum remained intact in the broader market. Midcap and Smallcap indices outperformed benchmark indices. There was a mixed action on the sectoral front. Nifty PSU Bank (+1.2%), Realty (+0.3%), and Auto (+0.3%) closed higher, Nifty Private Banks, Financial Services, and Metals closed more than 1% lower. The advance-decline ratio was in favor of advancers. Of the 2,257 stocks traded, 1,162 advanced, 757 declined, and the rest remained unchanged.

Looking forward, without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. If the index falls further, adds a distribution day, and breaches its key moving averages, we may change the market status to an Uptrend Under Pressure. Continue to trim or avoid ideas lagging and/or breaking down below major moving averages.

Key News

Granules India announced its March quarter results. Revenue grew 33.2% y/y to Rs 799 crore. PAT increased 38% to Rs 127.7 crore. EBITDA margin expanded 860bps to 25.3%.

Firstsource Solutions Q4 FY21 revenue grew 7% y/y to Rs 1,460 crore. EBITDA grew 10.7% y/y to Rs 231 crore. EBITDA margin expanded 50bps to 15.8%.

-Telangana government announced a 10-day lockdown, starting tomorrow.

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Daily Big Picture:Market Prediction Today as Nifty Stages a Downside Reversal

Today’s Action

Nifty, -4%; Sensex, -4.1%; Nifty Midcap, -2%; Nifty Smallcap, -1.5%; Model Portfolio, 0%

Daily Market Review

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Nifty staged a downside reversal closing near the lows but on a lower volume. Nifty Bank and IT saw high selling pressure. Yesterday, volume and percentage gains met our threshold. Hence, we considered it as a follow-through day and upgraded the market to a Confirmed Uptrend. However, we didn’t add any stocks to our portfolio and asked investors to be careful if they take any fresh position as follow-through days after such sharp and dramatic correction can fail and more time should be given to the market to prove its strength.

Continue reading “Daily Big Picture:Market Prediction Today as Nifty Stages a Downside Reversal”

Daily Big Picture: FMCG, Pharma ,Metal Stocks Gained up 4-5%

Today’s Action

Nifty, +3.8%; Sensex, +3.6%; Nifty Midcap, +2.3%; Nifty Smallcap, +3.1%; Model Portfolio, 0%

Daily Market Review

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Nifty ended the day with strong gains, up about 3.5%, on higher volume than yesterday’s session. As the volume was higher and percentage gains met our threshold, today’s action was considered as a follow-through day.Hence, we upgraded the market to a Confirmed Uptrend. We did see some decent percentage gains by many leaders, but most of them are still below their key moving averages.

Continue reading “Daily Big Picture: FMCG, Pharma ,Metal Stocks Gained up 4-5%”