Nifty Advances on Lower Volume; Nifty Media Rallies Over 4%

Today’s Action

Nifty, +0.7%; Sensex, +0.7%; Nifty Midcap, +1.6%; Nifty Smallcap, +1.6%; Model Portfolio, +1.3%.

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Distribution Day Count: Two

Nifty opened the session over 50 points higher. It stayed in positive territory throughout the session with little intraday swings. Being a weekly expiry, today’s volatility was on the lower side versus a normal expiry session. Today’s volume was lower than in the previous session. Starting May 28, volume has been below the 50-day average. Of the Nifty50 stocks, 68% advanced, among which Bajaj Finance (+7.3%) and  Bajaj Finserv (+3.8%) were the major advancers.

Barring Nifty Auto (-0.1%), all sectoral indices closed in the green. Nifty Media (+4.6%) advanced the most, followed by Realty (+3.3%) and financial related sectors. The advance-decline ratio was in favor of advancers, as out of 2,256 stocks traded, 1,523 stocks advanced, 439 stocks declined, and the remaining closed flat.

Yesterday, Nifty succumbed to a distribution day for the first time since May 11. If the index falls further, adds a distribution day, and breaches its key moving averages, we may change the market status to an Uptrend Under Pressure. Focus on quality ideas emerging out of sound bases with RS line at or near new highs while reducing exposure to stocks breaking below key support levels.

Key News

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders announced its Q4 FY21 results. Revenue was up 5.9% y/y to Rs 1,105.1 crore. Net profit surged 247% to Rs 259.1 crore.

Cera Sanitaryware ’s Q4 FY21 revenue increased 47.2% y/y to Rs 438.4 crore. PAT rose 23% to Rs 45.8 crore.

Gail (India) (Nse) announced its Q4 FY21 results. Revenue came in flat at Rs 15,449 crore against Rs 15,454 crore in Q3 FY21. Net profit increased 28.3% to Rs 1,908 crore.

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SGX Nifty Indicates Positive Opening; Bata’s Q4 Results Beat Estimates on all Fronts

At 8:00 am IST, SGX Nifty Futures was trading at 15,710, compared with Nifty’s close of 15,635, yesterday.

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Distribution Day Count: Two

Global stock markets: Dow30, -0.4%; S&P 500, -0.2%; Nasdaq, -0.1%; Kospi, +0.3%; Nikkei,+0.4 %

Yesterday, Nifty started the session flat and trended higher in the first half. It hit a fresh all-time high of 15,800, after which it staged a downside reversal and dropped 230 points to make an intraday low of 15,566. As the fall was more than 0.2% and volume was higher than in the previous session, it qualifies as a distribution day. However, the distribution day count remains unchanged as one expired at the close yesterday. All the sectoral indices closed in the red. Nifty Media (-2.1%) declined the most, followed by Realty (-1.7%) and PSU Bank (-1.4%). FIIs and DIIs were net sellers at Rs 846 crore and Rs 272 crore, respectively.

Nifty registered a distribution day for the first time since May 11. If the index falls further, adds a distribution day, and breaches its key moving averages, we may change the market status to an Uptrend Under Pressure. We recommend a selective approach to increasing risk. Focus on quality ideas emerging out of sound bases with RS line at or near new highs while reducing exposure to stocks breaking below key support levels.

Key News:

Bata India ’s Q4 FY21 results beat estimates on all fronts. PAT down 23% y/y to Rs 29.5 crore. Revenue declined 4.9% y/y to Rs 590 crore. Margin contracted 350bps y/y to 19%.

Bharat Petroleum, Hindustan Ptl , and Indian oil : India’s fuel demand reduced in May to its lowest since August 2020. Oil demand fell 11.3% m/m to 15.11M tonnes and was down 1.5% y/y.

-Yields for the 10-year U.S. Bonds slid to around 1.5%, lowest in the last three months.

Buy Watchlist: Nippon Life India Asset ManagementBajaj FinanceSbi Cards And Payment ServicesPage IndustriesState Bank Of IndiaAmbuja CementsEveready Inds.(India)Varun BeveragesColgate-Palmolive IndiaSharda CropchemBerger Paints IndiaIcici BankCholamandalam Inv.& Fin.Tata Power, and Apollo Hosps.Enterprise.

Sell Watchlist: Advanced Enzyme Techs.

Today’s Action Qualifies as Distribution Day; All Sectoral Indices Close in the Red

Today’s Action

Nifty, -0.7%; Sensex, -0.6%; Nifty Midcap, -0.7%; Nifty Smallcap, -1.3%; Model Portfolio, -0.9%.

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Distribution Day Count: Two

Nifty started the session flat and trended higher in the first half. It hit a fresh all-time high of 15,800, after which it moved down over 230 points to make an intraday low of 15,566. Of the Nifty50 stocks, 78% declined, among which Tata Motors (-2.7%) and  Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (-2.5%) were the major decliners.

Today’s fall was more than 0.2% and volume was higher than in the previous session. Hence, it qualifies as a distribution day. However, the distribution day count remains unchanged as one expired today.

All the sectoral indices closed in the red. Nifty Media (-2.1%) declined the most, followed by Realty (-1.7%) and PSU Bank (-1.4%). The advance-decline ratio was in favor of decliners, as out of 2,258 stocks traded, 713 stocks declined, 1,217 stocks declined, and the remaining closed flat.

Nifty succumbed to a distribution day for the first time since May 11. If the index falls further, adds a distribution day, and breaches its key moving averages, we may change the market status to an Uptend Under Pressure. Focus on quality ideas emerging out of sound bases with RS line at or near new highs while reducing exposure to stocks breaking below key support levels.

Key News

Gail (India) (Nse) announced its Q4 FY21 results. Revenue was down 0.1% y/y to 15,449 crore. Net profit increased 28.3% to Rs 1,908 crore. EBITDA margin increased to 16% q/q against 12.4%.

Indian Mtls.& Fealy.’s Q4 FY21 revenue increased 52% y/y to Rs 576.1 crore. PAT rose 26% to Rs 65.4 crore.

Teamlease Services’s Q4 FY21 revenue was up 0.8% y/y to Rs 1,340 crore. It reported a profit of Rs 18.9 crore against a loss of Rs 29.4 crore in Q4 FY20.

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SGX Nifty Indicates Flat Opening; Welspun Corp Received Orders Worth Rs 1,725 Crore

At 8:15 am IST, SGX Nifty Futures was trading at 15,762, compared with Nifty’s close of 15,740, yesterday.

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Distribution Day Count: Two

Global stock markets: Dow30, -0.1%; S&P 500, -0.02%; Nasdaq, +0.3%; Kospi, -0.2%; Nikkei, -0.3%

Yesterday, Nifty opened slightly higher and hit a fresh all-time high of 15,778. Within the first hour, it lost around 100 points and made a low of 15,680. As the session progressed, Nifty traded higher with volatility. Of Nifty50 stocks, 54% advanced. On the sectoral front, there was a mixed action. Nifty IT (+1.2%) advanced the most, followed by Media (+0.9%) and Pharma (+0.9%). On the flip side, financial-related indices closed 1.0–1.5% lower. FIIs were net buyers at Rs 1,422 crore, while DIIs were net sellers at Rs 1,640 crore.

Nifty making a new high, the broader market back in momentum, distribution day count down to two, and no distribution day after May 11 are positive signs for a sustainable rally. However, without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. If the index falls further, adds a distribution day, and breaches its key moving averages, we may change the market status to an Uptrend Under Pressure. Focus on quality ideas emerging out of sound bases with RS line at or near new highs while reducing exposure to stocks breaking below key support levels.

Key News:

Welspun has received multiple orders of approximately 164 KMT valuing close to Rs 1,725 crore. With these orders, the company’s order book stands at 525 KMT valued at approximately Rs 4,800 crore, after considering execution up to May 2021.

Galaxy Surfcants ’s Q4 revenue increased 19.7% y/y to Rs 786 crore. PAT grew 25.3% y/y to Rs 79 crore. For FY21, EBITDA/MT grew 16.4% y/y to Rs 19,465.

Q4 FY21 investor presentation can be accessed on: https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/4653135d-50c2-4016-9a87-3e144c285125.pdf

Buy Watchlist: Nippon Life India Asset ManagementBajaj FinanceSbi Cards And Payment ServicesPage IndustriesState Bank Of IndiaAmbuja CementsEveready Inds.(India)Varun BeveragesColgate-Palmolive IndiaSharda CropchemAstralBerger Paints IndiaIcici BankCholamandalam Inv.& Fin.Tata Power, and Apollo Hosps.Enterprise

Sell Watchlist: Advanced Enzyme Techs.

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Nifty Closes Flat Amid Volatility; IT, Media and Pharma Stocks Advance the Most

Today’s Action

Nifty, -0.1%; Sensex, -0.1%; Nifty Midcap, +0.6%; Nifty Smallcap, +0.5%; Model Portfolio, +1.5%.

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Distribution Day Count: Two

Nifty opened higher with a minor 20 points and hit a fresh all-time high of 15,778.8. Within the first hour, it lost around 100 points and made a low of 15,680. As the session progressed, Nifty traded higher with volatility. Of Nifty50 stocks, 54% advanced, led by Tata Motors (+2.1%) and Tech Mahindra (+2.3%). Major decliners were Hindalco Industries (-1.8%) and Tata Steel (-1.6%).

On the sectoral front, there was mixed action. Nifty IT (+1.2%) advanced the most, followed by Media (+0.9%) and Pharma (+0.9%). On the flip side, financial–related indices closed 1.0–1.5% lower. The advance-decline ratio was in favor of advancers, as out of 2,254 stocks traded, 1,051 stocks advanced, 880 stocks declined, and the remaining closed flat.

Nifty making a new high, the broader market back in momentum, distribution day count down to two, and no distribution day after May 11 are positive signs for a sustainable rally. However, without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. If the index falls further, adds a distribution day, and breaches its key moving averages, we may change the market status to an Uptrend Under Pressure. Focus on quality ideas emerging out of sound bases with RS line at or near new highs while reducing exposure to stocks breaking below key support levels.

Key News

Suven Pharmaceuticals ’s Q4 FY21 revenue increased 38.1% y/y to Rs 262.5 crore. Net profit increased 12.1% to Rs 83.2 crore, while EBITDA margin declined to 37% against 43.1% y/y.

Dewan Housing Finance ’s shares are locked in a 10% upper circuit as the NCLT approved Piramal Group’s resolution plan.

Hester Biosciences reported Q4 FY21 results. Revenue increased 47.2% y/y to Rs 64.2 crore. Profit came in at Rs 9.7 crore against Rs 2.7 crore in Q4 FY20.

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