Market Update: After 7 Weeks of Decline, Nifty Finally Sees Weekly Gain

Weekly Action

Nifty, +12.7%; Sensex, +12.9%; Nifty Midcap, +10.9%; Nifty Smallcap, +9.6%; Model Portfolio, +2.1%.

Market Pulse Confirmed Uptrend

Weekly Market Review

Nifty made a halt to seven straight weeks of decline and closed the week with a gain of more than 12%. The index started the week on a strong positive note and recorded additional follow through day as it gained about 8.8%, on higher volume than the previous session. The index closed in negative on Wednesday. Today, Nifty staged a reversal and closed the day near the day’s high holding significant gains.

All the sectoral indices closed in positive territory for the week. Nifty Auto (+23.1%) led the gains followed by Nifty Pharma (+19.4%) which continued the gaining momentum. Further, Financial stocks staged a reversal with Nifty Pvt Bank, Nifty Bank, and Nifty Financial gaining more than 14% each.

We continue to be very selective about taking any fresh positions. It is important that investors don’t play all their cards at once. We would suggest adopting an investment approach where you begin with a small allocation and increase it as and when the market advances further. Without trying to predict and decode stories, we will take what the market gives us and continue to monitor unfolding conditions. Stocks with higher relative strength and superior fundamentals can do well. Some leading stocks have sharply corrected. Wait for them to put in at least a short period of consolidation and show a constructive breakout from that range. Buying without this period of constructive behavior into a straight upmove off the bottom puts you at the risk of a drawdown.

Disclaimer: Information contained herein is not and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. It is for educational purposes only.

Daily Big Picture:Market Prediction Today as Nifty Stages a Downside Reversal

Today’s Action

Nifty, -4%; Sensex, -4.1%; Nifty Midcap, -2%; Nifty Smallcap, -1.5%; Model Portfolio, 0%

Daily Market Review

Market Pulse: Confirmed Uptrend

Nifty staged a downside reversal closing near the lows but on a lower volume. Nifty Bank and IT saw high selling pressure. Yesterday, volume and percentage gains met our threshold. Hence, we considered it as a follow-through day and upgraded the market to a Confirmed Uptrend. However, we didn’t add any stocks to our portfolio and asked investors to be careful if they take any fresh position as follow-through days after such sharp and dramatic correction can fail and more time should be given to the market to prove its strength.

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